Tuesday, November 6, 2007

CNBC's Fast Money Recap Nov. 5th

Citigroup (C) fell 5% Monday after news of more write-downs and CEO Chuck Prince’s departure. Charlie Gasparino joined the show to give his opinion on Citigroup. He thinks that Citigroup didn’t pop on the news of Prince leaving because Chairman Robert Rubin failed to communicate the new Citigroup vision that everyone on Wall Street was looking for. Macke thinks that Citigroup has to clear the deck and bring in somebody new to run the company.
Chartology: Technical analyst John Roque of Natexis Bleichroeder was on the show to give his analysis on the technical signs in the market. Roque still likes the longer term trend line on the S&P moving average. He predicts that the financials will be under performers for a long time. Roque also points out that the trend for oil, silver and gold remains up and if history is a guide that up trend will continue. He is positive about Newmont Mining (NEM) and thinks the stock can trade into the high $80’s.
Ethanol: Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) is set to report earnings on Tuesday. Najarian tells investors to look to at Deere (DE) and Bunge (BG) instead. Adami would rather be in Potash (POT) for an ethanol play.
IAC/InterActive Corp (IACI) announced plans Monday to split up into 5 separate companies. Also, Kraft (KFT) is looking to sell its Post cereal business for $2.8 billion. Finerman is happy with the news. Macke also likes Kraft's plans, but he wasn’t a big fan of IAC/InterActive’s plans to spin off divisions. Najarian thinks that Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) could benefit from a break up.
Technology: Google (GOOG) announces plans to create an open platform, Android, for the mobile phone market. Sun Microsystems (JAVA) falls after hours on lighter then expected revenue numbers. Macke thinks companies like VMware (VMW) and its technology could put JAVA out of business in the future. Dell (DELL) announced plans on Monday to buy virtualization software maker EqualLogic for $1.4 billion. Activision (ATVI) reports a second quarter profit as revenue soars.
Word on the Street: Time Warner (TWX) CEO Richard Parsons will step down on January 1st and be replaced by Chief Operating Officer Jeffrey Bewkes. Finerman likes the retail stocks better than financials. She bought call options on Friday and Monday on Crocs (CROX) and also thinks Under Armour (UA) and Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) are interesting here. PetroChina (PTR) topped $1 trillion in market cap surpassing Exxon Mobil (XOM). Adami likes that Chevron (CVX) preformed okay in a lousy tape today.
Pops & Drops
Pops -First Solar (FSLR) traded up 10% after hours on news of a $1 billion module supply contract.
Marvel Entertainment (MVL) traded up 16% on a strong profits report.
Mattel (MAT) traded up 4%
Ballard Power Systems (BLDP) traded up 12%
WellCare Health Plans (WCG) popped 22% on a 67% increase in profits.
Sysco (SYY) traded up 2% after reporting a 16% rise in profits.

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Monday, October 29, 2007

CNBC's Fast Money Recap Oct. 26th

Merrill Lynch (MER)- There was speculation on Wall Street that Stan O'Neal will be removed as CEO and Chairman of the Board over the weekend. CNBC's Charlie Gasparino joined the show to discuss O'Neal leaving. Gasparino says rumors are out that Larry Fink the CEO of BlackRock could be named the new Chairman and the CEO position might be split between Greg Flemming and Bob McCann. Najarian said he still would be a buyer of Merrill and that if O'Neal doesn't go, he expects the stock to go down to $55. However, Macke advocates shorting Merrill when O'Neal leaves.
BEA Systems (BEAS)- Carl Icahn has sent a letter to the board of BEA saying its time to come to the negotiating table with Oracle (ORCL). Rumors are that BEA wants $21 share and Oracle offered $17. The offer is set to expire on Sunday.
Microsoft (MSFT) traded up 15% after profits and revenues handily beat Wall Street estimates. Macke remarks that the earnings were great especially from Microsoft and the shorts are getting crushed. Finerman feels the market is very confusing with tech performing well, but many financial stocks doing poorly. Adami prefers Intel (INTC) here and noted that the Citigroup analyst put a $33 price target on the name. Najarian favors Apple (APPL)
Rate Cut- The crew then discussed how next week the Federal Reserve will meet to decide on interest rates and the jobs report will be released. Najarian thinks that the Fed is going to cut rates and that's why the financials flew Friday. He advocates staying with the good sectors like technology and asset mangers and avoid the rest. Macke and Finerman agree that the jobs number will be the best indicator for the economy.
Crude oil hit another record Friday trading above $92. Adami points out how Exxon (XOM) isn't rallying into record oil prices and suggests the company might miss earnings. XOM has a rich valuation and the price action signals that it may move lower. Adami admits that Exxon scares him in front of earnings. He thinks if Exxon reports bad results, it could take the Dow lower. Finerman mentioned that Kirk Kerkorian's Tracinda is looking to buy 16% of Tesoro (TSO).
Procter & Gamble (PG) is also set to report earnings on Tuesday. Procter is one of Macke's favorite trades in front of earnings. Finerman likes Procter as well and Kraft (KFT) which reports earnings on Wednesday. Manitowoc (MTW) is also set to report on Wednesday, which Najarian is partial to.
Quicker than the Ticker- On October 23rd Najarian said buy Vmware (VMW). He nailed the call and the stock has risen 10%. On September 27th Macke recommending buying Yahoo (YHOO). Macke was right and the stock appreciated 20% since his call. On September 20th Adami said buy Microsoft (MSFT). Adami was on the money and Microsoft killed Wall Street's estimates and traded up 11%.
Fast Fire- On October 5th Macke recommending buying Coach (COH). Macke was way off and Coach fell 21% since his call. On October 15th Najarian favored Broadcom (BRCM). He dropped the ball on BRCM and the stock fell 16% after disappointing earnings. On September 12th Adami said he loved Zimmer Holdings (ZMH). Since his call the stock has dropped 15%. On October 1st Finerman advised investors to buy put options on Garmin (GRMN). The stock has risen 9% since her call and she is now admitting defeat and moving on.
Pops & Drops
Pops - Merck (MRK) traded up 8%.
Goldman Sachs (GS) traded up 8%.
DeVry (DV) exploded up 47%.
Deckers Outdoor (DECK) traded up 34% on strong profits.
Baidu.com (BIDU) traded up 12% after profits more than doubled.
Black and Decker (BDK) popped 18% on strong international sales numbers.
Monster Worldwide (MNST) traded up 12% on strong profits.
Drops - Schering Plough (SGP) fell 7% after missing Wall Street estimates.
WellCare Health Plans (WCG) plunged 73% after the FBI raided their offices.
Final Trade
Macke favors Intel (INTC).
Adami recommends Dell (DELL).
Finerman says short the United States Oil Fund (USO).
Najarian grabs a buy ticket for Baker Hughes (BHI).

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Friday, September 21, 2007

Fast Money Recap Sept. 20th

Najarian: the weak dollar is bullish for technology stocks, which will benefit off of global growth. Finerman: buying S&P 500 and Russell put options to hedge her portfolio.Oil was above $83 again for the fourth record close in a row. Finerman suggests buying ConocoPhillips (COP). Najarian says to buy oil service stocks like Baker-Hughes (BHI), Halliburton (HAL) and Schlumberger (SLB).Word on the StreetGoldman Sachs (GS): Record numbers on Thursday. Najirian would sell on the news.FedEx (FDX): reported a 4% rise in profits, but cut forecasts. Macke thinks FedEx's problems are company-specific. He also reminded investors to never own a stock where the CEO blames the economy on a bad quarter, which FedEx did. Adami said Fed Ex isn't at the level he would buy, but it's getting close.Oracle (ORCL): traded up after hours on strong earnings and revenue. Macke thinks Oracle is a very good company hitting on all cylinders. Adami and Najarian like the acquisitions that Oracle has made recently.Cree (CREE) and Brightpoint (CELL): Najarian saw huge monster volume on the CREE September $35 calls and the CELL April $20 calls.Nike (NKE): reported bullish earnings and revenues after the close on Thursday. Finerman thinks the news gives a buy signal for Brown Shoe (BWS), which sells a lot of Nike shoes. Macke disagreed. Najirian says to watch Under Armor (UA), because if they are doing well than Nike will do well.PC Growth: Morgan Stanley raised PC growth forecasts by 4%. This adds momentum for technology stocks and will be bullish for Dell (DELL), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), Apple (AAPL), Intel (IMTC), and AMD (AMD).Stem Cell: Najarian says the pure play in the stem cell space is Geron (GERN). For other big caps look at Celgene (CELG), Amgen (AMGN) and AstraZeneca (AZN).Dubai announced on Thursday a 20% stake in both the NASDAQ and London Stock Exchange. Higher oil prices have left the Gulf state flush with cash. Macke says look at Tiffany's (TIF) and Saks (SKS) and get ahead of the possibility of Dubai taking a stake in these firms. Adami says buy Fluor (FLR) and McDermott (MDR). Finerman would play the exchange names like NASDAQ (NDAQ), NYMEX (NMX), and NYSE (NYX).POPS & DROPSPOPS: Athenahealth (ATHN), Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR), Carnival Cruise (CCL), Motorola (MOT).Drops: CKE Restaurants (CKR), Pier One Imports (PIR), Lowe's (LOW), Infosys (INFY), Pacific Ethanol (PEIX).Face2FaceFirst writer said, "Lee Raymond, the former CEO of Exxon Mobil (XOM) has said that the price of oil shouldn't be $80 per barrel. If so, perhaps there is no "real" inflation at all. Finerman disagrees with the idea that speculators can control prices in the longer term.Another writer asked why EMC Corp (EMC) hasn't broken out of its current trading range, while VMware (VMW). Adami recalls that traders sold EMC to buy VMW, but those traders will be coming back to EMC. He expects EMC to go over $20.Final TradeMacke: Added to his position in Activision (ATVI).Adami: says buy Oracle (ORCL) as long as it stays above $20.50.Finerman: going long on BEA Systems (BEAS).Najarian: buy Sohu.com (SOHU)

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