Wednesday, October 3, 2007

Stocks Drop After Economic Data

Stocks pared most of their early losses Wednesday as investors juggled uncertainty about the health of the economy with a renewed sense that Wall Street has skirted the worst of a widespread credit squeeze.
A reading on the nation's service economy, whose industries range from banking to retail and travel and account for 80 percent of U.S. economic activity, came in as expected and gave investors little reason to rally on hopes of an interest rate cut. But it also appeared to quiet some concerns about a sharp economic slowdown.
The Institute for Supply Management report showed the service sector expanded at a slower pace in September than in August. The trade group's non-manufacturing index fell to 54.8 from 55.8 in August as expected; the index is now at its lowest point since March. A reading above 50 indicates economic expansion, while a figure below 50 signals contraction.
Comments from former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan that the "worst is over" in the credit turmoil that swept global markets in recent months appeared to give a lift to investor sentiment. His comments followed a similar assesment from Citigroup Inc. on Monday.
Wall Street appears to be taking many economic readings in stride, perhaps expecting some slowdown before the Fed's rate cut is reflected in economic data. Often, such cuts can take more than a year to fully work themselves into the economy.
Source: Tim Paradis, AP Business Writer

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Monday, October 1, 2007

Hot Stocks to Watch Tuesday

Here are 7 stocks for traders for Tuesday from TradingMarkets.com:
Palm (NasdaqGS:PALM - News) beat earnings estimates on Monday afternoon, announcing $0.09 EPS over an expected $0.08 EPS. PALM's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4.
Pepsi Bottling (NYSE:PBG - News) should report $0.89 EPS on Tuesday before the market opens. PBG's PowerRating (for Traders) is 5.
Citigroup (NYSE:C - News) and UBS (NYSE:UBS - News) both announced major profit warnings for Q3 of this year, as the subprime mortgage effects continue to reverberate in the margin. C speculated that profit would fall 60% from last year, while UBS said it would probably lose about $3.4 billion. Despite the news, both companies were up on the day. C's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4, and UBS's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4.
Nokia (NYSE:NOK - News) announced plans to buy digital-map provider Navteq for $8.1 billion. NOK's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4.
Walgreen (NYSE:WAG - News) lost 15% on Monday, after missing analyst earnings estimates by a long-shot before the market opened. WAG's PowerRating (for Traders) is 5.
Acxiom (NasdaqGS:ACXM - News) announced that its $2.2 billion buyout by private firms has cancelled. ACXM will be awarded a $65 million termination fee, but the stock fell about 20% on the news. ACXM's PowerRating (for Traders) is 7.
Published by TradingMarkets.com

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Sunday, July 29, 2007

Raymond James (RJF) Has More Than Subprime Worries

Summary: Subprime-leery investors avoid financial/lending stocks lately, especially US-centric ones like Raymond James Financial (NYSE: RJF - News). But RJF has no subprime exposure, has recorded 20% higher net income and a 41% revenue increase in Q2 from rising deposits—not loans. Bank revenue should contribute $0.19/share in 2008 profits, up from a previously forecast $0.12/share, where $0.35/share is expected for 2009. Though RJFs $31 shares trade at a relatively expensive 13.5 P/E or 2.4 book value, that's offset by $3/share in cash and equity. That's roughly 11% of total assets vs. big brokers like Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER - News) and UBS (NYSE: UBS - News) with just 3%. RJF should actually benefit from Wachovia's (NYSE: WB - News) buyout of rival A.G. Edwards (NYSE: AGE - News) as former AGE brokers go looking for better pay packages, taking their commissions with them. Operational streamlining has led RJFs 4,640 financial advisors to generate 40% more revenues/assets per advisor since 2004. Analysts have largely missed the $3.7 billion cap company's potential as the largest independent brokerage house. CEO Thomas James says RJFs not for sale, but bulls say the stock could reach $37-$38, or even $40 if the buyout price is right.
Published by SeekingAlpha

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