Monday, November 19, 2007

CNBC's Fast Money Recap Nov. 16th

The Dow finished 66 points into positive territory and the Nasdaq closed up 18 points. The technology sector and retail industry is getting a lot of attention as the holiday season is fast approaching. Technology stocks rebounded Friday after the worst week for the Nasdaq since April 2002. Najarian said this week was not that bad for technology. He highlighted Apple (AAPL), which started the week at $165 and finished the week at $165. Cisco Systems and Oracle (ORCL) both enjoyed a great week as well. Najarian suggested that as soon as Research in Motion (RIMM) hits China the stock will make a huge move.
Jim Goldman joined the show crew to discuss his take on Google entering the wireless space. Goldman says Google (GOOG) is going to make a play for the 700mhz spectrum being auctioned off by the FCC in January. Goldman speculates that this network could be worth $4.5 billion.
Henry Blodget caused speculation on Friday after posting on his blog that Microsoft (MSFT) should buy Yahoo! (YHOO) to gain market share in internet search. Finerman doesn't think the idea is outrageous. Macke also feels that Microsoft has plenty of cash to make the deal.
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) and GameStop (GME) will report earnings next week. Adami loves Hewlett-Packard, but he is worried that expectations might be too high. The rest of the crew more or less agreed.
Najarian says look at the strong stock performance in companies that sell merchandise at Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) like Under Armour (UA), Crocs (CROX), Nike (NKE) and Calloway (ELY). Macke agrees and said he would buy Dick's right now.
Wal-Mart (WMT) shines among a weak retail sector after posting a solid quarterly report.
FedEx's (FDX) lowered full-year outlook may be predicting an economic slowdown. Macke says FedEx is a legitimate economic indicator especially for the health of the consumer.
Consumer staples like Coca-Cola (KO), Altria (MO), Colgate (CL) and Procter & Gamble (PG) continue to show strength in a weak market. Adami favors Unilever (UL) at its 52-week high and is cheaper then Procter on valuation. Najarian likes Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) which Warren Buffett owns and Merck (MRK).
Crude oil closed at $95 as traders make another attempt at $100. Adami thinks crude is toppy, but Tesoro (TSO) is worth looking at in the mid-$50's. Najarian would prefer a solar stock play.
Pops & Drops
Pops - Cisco (CSCO) traded up 5% this week after announcing a $10 billion stock buyback.
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) traded up 2% after the Abu Dhabi government took an 8.1% stake worth $622 million.
Lehman Brothers Holdings (LEH) traded up 7%.
Delta Airlines (DAL) traded up 21% after speculation that a merger with United Airlines (UAUA) could occur.
Corning (GLW) traded up 10% after raising their profit forecast for the fourth-quarter.
Garmin (GRMN) traded up 14%
Sotheby's (BID) traded up 16% after selling $316 million in contemporary art on Wednesday.
Crocs (CROX) traded up 10%
Final Trade
Macke feels positive about Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS).
Adami recommends Lazard (LAZ) for an M&A play.
Finerman would short Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV) because of its high debt levels.
Najarian favors DaVita (DVA)

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Wednesday, November 7, 2007

CNBC's Street Signs Recap Nov. 6th

Erin Burnett hosted. Recession was the first topic of the show. Tobias Levkovich, a CITI equity strategist, says Tech sector is not headed toward a bubble. Also, when equipment orders are down, and companies are cutting capitol spending, it's a good time to buy chip stocks. Next, Steve Liesman speaks with President Bush. The President is urging business owners to offer free trade to their workers. Next, Google sees growth of 1000% since last year. Jeffery Lindsay of Bernstein Research says; he sees greater growth in Google’s overseas operation. The popularity of Google in Europe, as well as the hiring of European software engineers is the foundation for his prediction. Light bulbs were next. Chuck Swoboda of CREE says high performance light emitting LED's will make regular bulbs obsolete. A long lifetime and an eco-friendly light-emitting substance are the perks that they're aiming to appeal with. Cree’s LED's will be used in the swimming pool at the 2008 Olympics. Next, housing stocks still taking hits today. A homebuilding company; Beazer says that orders are down 58%, and that cancellations are up 68%. Next, after Gisele's story yesterday, the depreciation of the dollar has more people speculating on other currencies. Next, Under Armour (UA) CEO; Kevin Plank sells 1.5 million shares on Nov 1. Some are speculating that he has some doubts in his company. Despite a tough week [this week] and other CEO’s of other companies selling stock in possible preparation of problems to come, Kevin Plank assures everyone that selling shares is the main way that CEO’s make money. Stop trading with Jim Cramer was next. He says get out of Under Armour. Next, Pink slip software; Verve Optimize is a program that executives can use to fire employees. The software scans for possible lawsuit bi-products and tells you who you can fire within the company, without being sued. You can purchase this program for $100,000.

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Tuesday, November 6, 2007

CNBC's Fast Money Recap Nov. 5th

Citigroup (C) fell 5% Monday after news of more write-downs and CEO Chuck Prince’s departure. Charlie Gasparino joined the show to give his opinion on Citigroup. He thinks that Citigroup didn’t pop on the news of Prince leaving because Chairman Robert Rubin failed to communicate the new Citigroup vision that everyone on Wall Street was looking for. Macke thinks that Citigroup has to clear the deck and bring in somebody new to run the company.
Chartology: Technical analyst John Roque of Natexis Bleichroeder was on the show to give his analysis on the technical signs in the market. Roque still likes the longer term trend line on the S&P moving average. He predicts that the financials will be under performers for a long time. Roque also points out that the trend for oil, silver and gold remains up and if history is a guide that up trend will continue. He is positive about Newmont Mining (NEM) and thinks the stock can trade into the high $80’s.
Ethanol: Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) is set to report earnings on Tuesday. Najarian tells investors to look to at Deere (DE) and Bunge (BG) instead. Adami would rather be in Potash (POT) for an ethanol play.
IAC/InterActive Corp (IACI) announced plans Monday to split up into 5 separate companies. Also, Kraft (KFT) is looking to sell its Post cereal business for $2.8 billion. Finerman is happy with the news. Macke also likes Kraft's plans, but he wasn’t a big fan of IAC/InterActive’s plans to spin off divisions. Najarian thinks that Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) could benefit from a break up.
Technology: Google (GOOG) announces plans to create an open platform, Android, for the mobile phone market. Sun Microsystems (JAVA) falls after hours on lighter then expected revenue numbers. Macke thinks companies like VMware (VMW) and its technology could put JAVA out of business in the future. Dell (DELL) announced plans on Monday to buy virtualization software maker EqualLogic for $1.4 billion. Activision (ATVI) reports a second quarter profit as revenue soars.
Word on the Street: Time Warner (TWX) CEO Richard Parsons will step down on January 1st and be replaced by Chief Operating Officer Jeffrey Bewkes. Finerman likes the retail stocks better than financials. She bought call options on Friday and Monday on Crocs (CROX) and also thinks Under Armour (UA) and Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) are interesting here. PetroChina (PTR) topped $1 trillion in market cap surpassing Exxon Mobil (XOM). Adami likes that Chevron (CVX) preformed okay in a lousy tape today.
Pops & Drops
Pops -First Solar (FSLR) traded up 10% after hours on news of a $1 billion module supply contract.
Marvel Entertainment (MVL) traded up 16% on a strong profits report.
Mattel (MAT) traded up 4%
Ballard Power Systems (BLDP) traded up 12%
WellCare Health Plans (WCG) popped 22% on a 67% increase in profits.
Sysco (SYY) traded up 2% after reporting a 16% rise in profits.

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Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Fast Money Recap Sept. 25th

The crew at Fast Money discussed how retail stocks may be affected by the whipsaws of trading. Najarian pointed at that while stocks were down early, technology names recovered. According to Macke, investors shot first and didn't bother to ask the questions in the retail sector. Finerman feels something else besides fundamentals were at work with regards to the overall market sell off and the selling seen in retail stocks.Target (TGT), Lowe's (LOW) and Wal-Mart (WMT) traded lower off the poor consumer confidence numbers. Adami thinks Target is worth a trade here.
Christmas Season:Margret Brennan, CNBC's chief correspondent, thinks consumer electronics and retail accessories like handbags and shoes will be strong again this Christmas. She is looking at Wal-Mart and agrees with Adami on Target for a play on strong consumer electronics demand. Macke recommends Coach (COH). Adami suggests Saks (SKS). Najarian continues to favor athletic apparel maker Under Armour (UA)Word on the StreetExisting home sales were reported on Tuesday and hit a five-year low. Finerman has concerns that Lennar (LEN) may have write-downs in the future, and that short-term trade is in order at Centex (CTX). Adami: if KB Home (KBH) trades down to a 52-week low on 10 million shares, buy it for a short-term trade. The strike at General Motors (GM) hit its second day on Tuesday as investors grow nervous of a stalemate. Najarian doesn't want to see the strike go more then five days. Adami's idea for an auto trade look is to look for a pullback in BorgWarner (BWA).Technology SectorApple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG) hit new records as technology stocks continued to shine. Najarian says gadget stocks like Garmin (GRMN) and Research In Motion (RIMM) continue to be strong as well. Chemical and Consumer Sectors:Najarian: Likes Crocs (CROX), Monsanto (MON) and Digital River (DRIV).
Carter Worth: chief market technician at Oppenheimer, joined the crew to discuss his take on technical analysis in the markets. Says there is strength in materials, energy and industrial stocks, but that strength is being offset by weakness in consumer discretionary and financial stocks.BHP Billiton (BHP) vs. Wal-Mart (WMT). BHP is killing WMT in performance. The second chart was Schlumberger (SLB) vs. UBS (UBS) and the third was Arcelor Mittal (MT) vs. Toyota (TM). UBS and MT are the out performers in the above three comparisons and BHP has room to go higher.
Pops & DropsPops -- ValueClick (VCLK) traded up 13% and Focus Media (FMCN) traded up 19%.NAVTEQ (NVT) traded up 11%.Tesoro (TSO) popped 3%. Adami is bearish on the refineries.USEC (USU) popped 6%.Drops -- Vonage (VG) plunged 34%Whirlpool (WHR) fell 5%Freeport McMoRan (FCX) fell 2%Face2FaceIntercontinental Exchange (ICE) has fallen considerably from its high of $174. Is this an opportunity to accumulate a larger position, or is ICE's stock price reflecting slower growth? Finerman responds by noting that the exchanges are in play for M&A and this could draw in more investor interest for names like ICE. Macke was asked his opinion on Chipotle Mexican Grill's (CMG). Macke likes CMG for a trade.
Final Trade Macke favors eBay (EBAY).Finerman prefers Comverse Technology (CVMT).Najarian tells investors to play the online ad space with Digital River (DRIV). Adami likes USEC (USU)

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Tuesday, August 14, 2007

Hot Stock Options to Watch Today

Here are 7 options to watch for today. This list comes directly from the TradingMarkets Options Indicators page. The list is created using OptionVue options analysis software.
Most Underpriced Calls: These are the most under priced calls of all stocks in our database. While the Equities Explosion List finds groups of calls for individual equities that are under priced, this list finds the most under priced individual calls. Thus, the options listed here will tend to be more severely under priced.
Goldman Sachs Oct 210.0 Calls (NYSE:GS - News). GS' PowerRating is 6.
Most Underpriced Puts: These are the most under priced puts of all stocks in our database. While the Equities Explosion List finds groups of puts for individual equities that are under priced, this list finds the most under priced individual puts. Thus, the options listed here will tend to be more severely under priced.
Under Armour Oct 55 Puts (NYSE:UA - News). UA's PowerRating is 7.
Most Overpriced Calls: These are the most overpriced calls of all stocks in our database. While the Equities Implosion List finds groups of calls for individual equities that are overpriced, this list finds the most overpriced individual calls. Thus, the options listed here will tend to be more severely overpriced.
Baidu.com Sep 250.0 Calls (NasdaqGS:BIDU - News). BIDU's PowerRating is 6.
Most Overpriced Puts: These are the most overpriced puts of all stocks in our database. While the Equities Implosion List finds groups of puts for individual equities that are overpriced, this list finds the most overpriced individual puts. Thus, the options listed here will tend to be more severely overpriced.
Bear Stearns Sep 85.0 Puts (NYSE:BSC - News). BSC's PowerRating is 6.
Stocks with Abnormal Call Volume: These are stocks which showed unusual call option volume not easily explained by arbitrage operations. The appearance of a stock on the Call Volume Alerts list suggests a possible takeover, extraordinarily good earnings report, or other news which may favorably affect the stock.
XM Satellite Radio (NasdaqGS:XMSR - News). XMSR's PowerRating is 5.
Stocks with Abnormal Put Volume: These are stocks which showed unusual put option volume not easily explained by arbitrage operations. The appearance of a stock on the Put Volume Alerts list suggests an extraordinarily negative earnings report, or other news which may negatively affect the stock.
Sherwin-Williams (NYSE:SHW - News). SHW's PowerRating is 5.
Abnormal Put/Call $ Volume: These stocks have the highest dollar put volume in relation to their call volume. These high ratios are indicative of extreme bearish sentiment in the underlying stock.
Capital One Financial (NYSE:COF - News). COF's PowerRating is 5.
PowerRatings are courtesy of www.PowerRatings.net

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