Wednesday, December 26, 2007

Stocks to Watch Thursday

Here are 7 stocks for traders for Thursday from TradingMarkets.com:
Christopher & Banks (NYSE:CBK - News) reports earnings after the bell on Thursday, with traders looking for $0.28 EPS. CBK's PowerRating (for Traders) is 6.
Verifone (NYSE:PAY - News) is expecting to report $0.38 EPS on Thursday afternoon after the bell. PAY's PowerRating (for Traders) is 1.
Target (NYSE:TGT - News) fell over 2% today after announcing that December sales may decline following a weak post-Thanksgiving period. TGT's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4.
Macy's (NYSE:M - News) fell nearly 6% on the retail sales warning from Target. M does not have a PowerRating (for Traders) due to its short trading history.
Big Lots (NYSE:BIG - News) dropped nearly 6%, in line with an industry-wide decline. BIG's PowerRating (for Traders) is 5.
Evergreen Solar (NasdaqGM:ESLR - News) rallied over 9% today after China announced plans to pursue and develop alternative energy sources. ESLR's PowerRating (for Traders) is 3.
Amazon.com (NasdaqGS:AMZN - News) rallied over 2% today after announcing that the company has managed its best holiday season to date this year. AMZN's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4.

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Thursday, December 6, 2007

Stock Market Wrapup Dec. 6th

Stocks stormed higher on the day, brushing aside mixed retail sales reports in anticipation of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. The Dow added 175 points on the day to end at 13,620. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq was up 1.6% to close at 2,709, and the S&P finished up 1.5% at 1,507. Light, sweet crude prices climbed higher on the day with oil settling at $90.23 a barrel for January delivery. Treasury prices fell, while gold prices gained to close at $807.10 an ounce. The dollar gained against the yen, but declined versus the euro.
In economic news, a report from the Labor Department showed the number of jobless claims dropping last week, as Wall Street prepares for the department's monthly labor report tomorrow. According to the report, the number of claims for unemployment benefits fell last week by 15,000 to a total of 338,000. It was the largest decline in three months.
On the earnings front, shares of Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL - News) soared 13.0% despite reporting its first quarterly loss in 21 years. For the quarter, the homebuilder posted a net loss of -$81.8 million, or -52 cents per share, versus a profit of $173.8 million, or $1.07 per share, last year. Excluding a $314.9 million write-down, the company would have posted earnings of 72 cents per share. Quarterly revenue fell to $1.17 billion, down -35% from a year ago. On average, analysts were looking for a loss of -77 cents per share on revenue of $1.166 billion.
Elsewhere, imaging equipment maker Analogic (Nasdaq: ALOG - News) swung to a profit in the first quarter on earnings of $6.4 million, or 48 cents per share, versus a net loss of -$5.4 million, or -39 cents per share, in the prior year. Excluding one-time items, the company would have earned 53 cents per share compared with earnings of 12 cents per share last year. Revenue for the quarter jumped to $94.2 million, up 25% from $75.6 million in 2006. Analysts were expecting earnings of 40 cents per share on $87.4 million in revenue. Analogic's stock was up 18.2% at the bell.
In other corporate news, shares of ConAgra (NYSE: CAG - News) traded 6.3% higher on the day after the packaged food company said its second-quarter earnings would be higher than expected. ConAgra had previously said results would be in line with last year's earnings of 43 cents per share. Analysts were looking for a profit of 41 cents per share for the 2008 period.
Discount retailer Target (NYSE: TGT - News) said today that if recent soft sales patterns continue, the company will likely miss its previous estimates for December same-store sales. The company also reported that December sales needed to "meaningfully improve" in order to achieve fourth-quarter EPS growth. Shares of Target were off -7.6% for the session.
By the BullMarket.com Staff

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Stock Market Wrapup Dec. 6th

Stocks stormed higher on the day, brushing aside mixed retail sales reports in anticipation of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. The Dow added 175 points on the day to end at 13,620. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq was up 1.6% to close at 2,709, and the S&P finished up 1.5% at 1,507. Light, sweet crude prices climbed higher on the day with oil settling at $90.23 a barrel for January delivery. Treasury prices fell, while gold prices gained to close at $807.10 an ounce. The dollar gained against the yen, but declined versus the euro.
In economic news, a report from the Labor Department showed the number of jobless claims dropping last week, as Wall Street prepares for the department's monthly labor report tomorrow. According to the report, the number of claims for unemployment benefits fell last week by 15,000 to a total of 338,000. It was the largest decline in three months.
On the earnings front, shares of Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL - News) soared 13.0% despite reporting its first quarterly loss in 21 years. For the quarter, the homebuilder posted a net loss of -$81.8 million, or -52 cents per share, versus a profit of $173.8 million, or $1.07 per share, last year. Excluding a $314.9 million write-down, the company would have posted earnings of 72 cents per share. Quarterly revenue fell to $1.17 billion, down -35% from a year ago. On average, analysts were looking for a loss of -77 cents per share on revenue of $1.166 billion.
Elsewhere, imaging equipment maker Analogic (Nasdaq: ALOG - News) swung to a profit in the first quarter on earnings of $6.4 million, or 48 cents per share, versus a net loss of -$5.4 million, or -39 cents per share, in the prior year. Excluding one-time items, the company would have earned 53 cents per share compared with earnings of 12 cents per share last year. Revenue for the quarter jumped to $94.2 million, up 25% from $75.6 million in 2006. Analysts were expecting earnings of 40 cents per share on $87.4 million in revenue. Analogic's stock was up 18.2% at the bell.
In other corporate news, shares of ConAgra (NYSE: CAG - News) traded 6.3% higher on the day after the packaged food company said its second-quarter earnings would be higher than expected. ConAgra had previously said results would be in line with last year's earnings of 43 cents per share. Analysts were looking for a profit of 41 cents per share for the 2008 period.
Discount retailer Target (NYSE: TGT - News) said today that if recent soft sales patterns continue, the company will likely miss its previous estimates for December same-store sales. The company also reported that December sales needed to "meaningfully improve" in order to achieve fourth-quarter EPS growth. Shares of Target were off -7.6% for the session.
By the BullMarket.com Staff

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Tuesday, November 27, 2007

CNBC's Street Signs Recap Nov. 26th

Erin Burnett started the show today showing crude oil up about $0.40. Financial earnings are predicted to be down for the next few days. Fannie May seems to be taking a dip downward. HSBC Holdings (HBC) is noted as being one of the financials with weak stock. Electronic sales have actually shown an increase despite the weak retail market. Homebuilders lead decline. Steve Liesman gives the econ recon, saying investors are scrambling to buy junk bond yields which have shown a rapid incline in valuable stock. The stock in credit companies are reported as being much weaker than the drop that was seen back in August. Lewis Alexander a Citi Chief Economists says that the drop we see in short term stocks will be short lived and a dependence on the FED to contain the financial stress, will affect our resilience to a recession. Brian Shactman of CNBC says that Cyber Monday did not act as the number online sales day of the year. 72% of online retailers give Cyber Monday "deals," compared to 43% last year. Such as free shipping costs and percentage slashing. Sales are expected to break $700 M for this year's Cyber Monday. Wal-Mart, Target and JC Penny are among the top contenders for promotional sales. E-Bay and Amazon.com are doing very well along with direct company sales websites. Next, China was discussed with John Maziotti, mayor of Palm Bay, FL. He is part of the proposed ban on goods from China. Proposed ban does not include emergency products. Palm Bay are looking for funds to be raised for a "made in America" Christmas tree lighting. He says the loss of jobs and the unhealthy variables included in imported products from China are the main issues backing the proposed ban. Robert Shuller of Macro-Markets says that to fix the housing market in the long term is going to take the creation of a consumer-oriented focus. To offer mortgages with outs in the initial contract will be one of the first issues on the reform list. Stop Trading with Jim Cramer was next. He supports the proposed ban on importing Chinese manufactured goods. Garmin (GRMN) is recommended to buy and sell 18 months from now. Richard Peterson from Thomson Financial says that this will be a record high for global IPO's. Russia leads with $8 B, New York in 4th place with $4.3B, but leads the market in American currency exchanges. Jim Goldman of CNBC reports that Yahoo (YHOO) small business servers are down. Hosting 3 million sites this will be causing some problems says Jim Goldman. Oil is responsible for 33% of Yemen GDP.

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Tuesday, November 20, 2007

CNBC's Fast Money Recap Nov. 19th

The Dow closed down 218 points and the Nasdaq fell 43 points on Monday. Finerman sees storm clouds are everywhere and the Goldman downgrade of Citigroup (C) really hurt the markets. Najarian had a fun day trading. He also thinks the financial sector is in big trouble and he is extremely worried about General Motors (GM) which fell below $27.
Louise Yamada, a highly ranked technician on Wall Street, joined the show to discuss her analysis on the technicals of the market. She is currently worried that the S&P 500 could break 1406, which would signal to her an end of the longer-term uptrend. Yamada is still bullish on Cisco Systems (CSCO) and she would look to buy pullbacks on the name. She looked at the chart on Broadcom (BRCM) calling it a sell because it hasn't followed through after a false break-out. The chart on Coca-Cola (KO) is initiating an uptrend according to Yamada, so she would be a buyer of KO. Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY) should be sold.
Retail
Nordstrom (JWN) reported a 22% rise in third-quarter profits helped by an extra week of sales.
Sears Holdings (SHLD) disclosed it has taken a 13.7% stake in Restoration Hardware (RSTO) and the possibility of proposing an acquisition.
Target (TGT) is set to report earnings Tuesday before the opening bell.
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) clocked a 28% jump in profits off of strong notebook sales.
Medtronic (MDT) reported a 2% decline in profits, but the stock trades 3% higher after hours.
Lowe's (LOW) dropped 7% after reporting a 10% decline in profits due to the weak housing market.
Celgene (CELG) bought Pharmion (PHRM) for $2.9 billion. Adami thinks that Phizer must make a similar acquisition.
EchoStar (DISH) shares exploded higher Monday after Citigroup said there was a 65% chance that AT&T (T) will buy DISH.
Ultimate Fighting is now the fasting growing spectator sport in the United States. Macke says look for growth in cable companies and satellite companies like Viacom (VIA) and EchoStar. He also thinks makers of energy drinks like Coca-Cola will benefit. He said avoid the World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE) because the UFC is taking share. Lastly, Macke speculated that Anheuser-Busch (BUD) could be near a beverage deal with the UFC.
Pops & Drops
Pops - Xerox (XRX) traded up 2%.
Intercontinental Exchange traded up 3%
VeriSign (VRSN) traded up 2%.
Drops - E*TRADE (ETFC) fell 13% even with speculation of a takeover by Ameritrade (AMTD)
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) fell 7%
Genesco (GCO) plunged 24%.
Disney (DIS) fell 4%
General Motors (GM) fell 8% after the automaker announced plans for year-end discounts to clear out inventory.
Dillard's (DDS) fell 5%.
Tween Brands (TWB) fell 13%
Final Trade
Macke would purchase Dicks Sporting Goods (DKS) and Target on any selloff Tuesday
Najarian advises buying EchoStar (DISH) on a pullback under $44.
Finerman is long Goldman Sachs Group (GS) and short Lehman Brothers Holdings (LEH).
Adami recommends Vodafone Group (VOD) for a play on China.

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Tuesday, November 13, 2007

CNBC's Fast Money Recap Nov. 12th

Dennis Gartman, author of The Gartman Letter, joined the show to discuss his take on the dollar, which he predicted last Friday was due for a bounce. The dollar had its biggest one day reversal in a year on Monday. He also noted that in the last 4 days the U.S. dollar had the biggest rally versus the Canadian dollar that he has seen in his life. He also wouldn't be surprised to see gold fall another $40. Also, Gartman is looking for oil to fall $10-$15 before Thanksgiving.
Merrill Lynch economist David Rosenberg said on Monday that the last time he's seen a drop in consumer confidence to this degree during the Holiday season; the economy was in a recession. Macke thinks the Tuesday earnings reports from Home Depot (HD) and Wal-Mart (WMT) will be horrific. The only retailer he expects a good earnings report from is Kohl's (KSS) and his wild card is Macy's (M). He would get long Costco (COST) and Target (TGT). Adami thinks a trade is setting up for Coldwater Creek (CWTR), which he mentions has a very high short interest.
E*Trade (ETFC) lost 60% of its value Monday on concerns over the companies loan portfolio. Finerman thinks the most clear trade is to be long TD Ameritrade Holding (AMTD). Finerman sees opportunity for TD Ameritrade to steal E*Trade clients with all the problems they're having. She also likes Charles Schwab (SCHW).
IBM (IBM) bought Cognos (COGN) for $5 billion and Fortune Brands (FO) sold its wine business to Constellation Brands (STZ) for $885 million. Adami declares United States Steel (X) will be the next company to be taken over.
Word on the Street
Technology stocks continued to slide Monday with leaders like Google (GOOG) dropping 5%, Apple (AAPL) dropping 7% and Research In Motion (RIMM) dropping 9%. Adami likes Hewlett Packard (HPQ) ahead of next Monday's earnings report.
Rio Tinto (RTP) hits a record high after BHP Billiton (BHP) laid out the details for its $140 billion all-share offer.
Adami says the big pharmaceutical story is not fiction and Merck (MRK) is for real. He also loves defense play Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). Macke agrees with Adami and that right now is a good time to be long Merck, Procter & Gamble (PG), Pfizer (PFE) and Church & Dwight (CHD) for a defensive portfolio. Najarian wants to keep an eye on Eli Lilly (LLY).
Pops & Drops
Pops - Cisco Systems (CSCO) traded up 2% on Monday as the market declined.
Mattel (MAT) traded up 4% off a JPMorgan upgrade.
Starwood (HOT) traded up 2%
Washington Mutual (WM) traded up 1% as the financial stocks mounted a rally on Monday.
American Airlines (AMR), US Airways (LCC) and Delta (DAL) all traded up more than 5% as oil prices declined.
Starbucks (SBUX) traded up 3%.
Drops - Freeport McMoRan (FCX) fell 10% as commodity stocks were hit off the dollar rally.
Tyson Foods (TSN) fell 3% after cutting its 2008 forecast.
Sotheby's (BID) fell 2%.
Mosaic (MOS) fell 14% off the dollar rally.
Final Trade
Macke likes defensive play Procter & Gamble (PG).
Adami recommends Cisco Systems (CSCO).
Finerman and Najarian both picked TD Ameritrade Holding (AMTD).

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Monday, November 5, 2007

CNBC's Fast Money Recap Nov. 2nd

On Friday the Fast Money crew speculated on the news about Citigroup (C). Macke thinks the banks are still a sell here unless you're the fastest of traders. Finerman went long Citigroup through options on Friday and she sees a bounce if CEO Chuck Prince leaves. Macke agrees that it does look like a near term reversal to the upside could be in store for Citigroup. Tim Seymour thinks the downside for the financials might be a bit over done and he bought Merrill Lynch (MER) on Friday.
Famous Legg Mason money manager, Bill Miller, likes financials and consumer names, proposing that the global plays might be over. He predicts that new leadership in the markets will come from US, large-cap, dollar-based stocks. Seymour disagrees and thinks that consumer names will do nothing over the next year. Macke thinks Miller's statement is reckless.
Cisco Systems (CSCO) is set to report earnings on Wednesday. Oppenheimer Chief Market technician Carter Worth joined the show to discuss Cisco Systems. In Worth's opinion, CSCO has relative strength and during market sell-offs investors haven't been selling the shares. Adami notes that fundamentally CSCO is doing well. Seymour contends CSCO is a bell-weather for technology and the company is finding ways to grow outside of the U.S. Macke thinks CSCO is just getting started and any pullback in the name is a chance to buy it. In the technology sector Macke wants a dip on Microsoft (MSFT) so he can get in. Adami favors Western Digital.
Retail Shopping
Most major retailers are set to report same-store sales for October on Wednesday Nov. 7th and Thursday Nov. 8th. Costco (COST) and Macy's (M) are Macke's favorite plays here. Finerman is positive on the retailers, but she is nervous about the consumer and she sold her Target (TGT).
Insurance: A shareholder group including Maurice Greenberg is requesting that American International Group (AIG) look at strategic alternatives. The stock is trading up 3% after hours on the news. Greenberg, who use to run AIG, is currently the largest shareholder and controls $3 billion in the stock. Charlie Gasparino's sources say that Greenberg wants to get rid of the current mangers and board of directors. Macke would be a buyer of AIG off this news.
OIL: Oil hits another record high to close at $95.93. Finerman favors Flowserve (FLS) for a global play. She also mentioned that FLS is her biggest position, although she did trim some on Friday. Adami tells investors Exxon Mobil (XOM) still has a rich valuation and if you want to play the oil space look at Chevron (CVX).
Seymour recommends investors look at emerging markets like Brazil, Russia and China. Brazilian banks Banco Itau Holding Financeira S.A. (ITU) and Banco Bradesco S.A. (BBD) are his plays. In Eastern Europe, he likes cellular plays Mobile TeleSystems (MBT) and Vimpel-Communications (VIP).
Pops & Drops
Pops - IAC Interactive Corp (IACI) traded up 9% after beating earnings.
USEC (USU) traded up 12% on a strong profits report.
Potash (POT) traded up 4% after Russian competitor Silvinit had a major flood causing tight world supplies to tighten further.
Baidu.com (BIDU) popped 16% after profits doubled. Macke declares BIDU is the Google of China.
Drops - Washington Mutual (WM) fell 17% after New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo sued WM alleging it colluded with a real estate appraisal firm to inflate the value of homes to help ensure that loans went through.
Yahoo! (YHOO) fell 8% for the week.
Target (TGT) fell 6% following the downward trend in the market.
Titanium Metals (TIE) fell 11% after missing profit forecasts.
Quicker than the Ticker
Back on October 8th, Seymour suggested buying CTC Media (CTCM) and Central European Media Entertainment (CETV). Seymour got it right and shares of CTC Media went up 7% and CETV surged 20% since his recommendation.
On October 17th Adami told investors to buy MasterCard (MA). The stock has advanced 17% since he recommended it.
October 29th Finerman advised shorting GPS play Garmin (GRMN). GRMN declined 20% since her call.
It was October 31st when Macke recommended investors to short Citigroup (C). Macke was right and two days later Citigroup fell 9%.
Misfires
Earlier this week on Tuesday, Adami recommended buying Las Vegas Sands (LVS). He missed the trade and LVS plunged 19% since his call. For now he favors Boyd Gaming (BYD).
Last Friday Finerman recommended shorting oil. Since her call oil has climbed 6% higher. Finerman would get out of the short oil trade because it didn't work.
A week ago Macke told investors to buy Procter and Gamble (PG). Procter has fallen 3% since he picked it, but Macke says the earnings report wasn't that bad and maintains its going to work in the long-term.
On October 4th Seymour favored investment bank Merrill Lynch (MER) on valuation. Seymour was way off and Merrill fell 19%.
Final Trade
After a rollercoaster week, the team gives their best picks. Although, not necessarily for stocks.
Macke picks the Indianapolis Colts over the New England Patriots. Finerman went with the New England Patriots.
Adami places his bet on Intel (INTC).
Seymour chooses Immersion (IMMR).

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Tuesday, October 16, 2007

Hot Stocks to Watch Today

Here are 7 trading ideas for today. These lists come directly from the TradingMarkets Stock Indicators page and are based upon our latest quantitative research.
Bullish
5+ Consecutive Down Days: These are stocks that have closed down for five or more consecutive days and are trading above their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading above their 200-day moving average that close down for five or more days have shown positive returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Sun Healthcare (NasdaqGM:SUNH - News). SUNH's PowerRating (for Traders) is 7.
5+ Consecutive Lower Lows: These are stocks that have made a lower low for five or more consecutive days and are trading above their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading above their 200-day moving average that make lower lows for five or more days have shown positive returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY - News). LLY's PowerRating (for Traders) is 6.
2-Period RSI Below 2: These are stocks that have a 2-period RSI reading below 2 and are trading above their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading above their 200-day moving with a 2-period RSI reading below 2 have shown positive returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Target (NYSE:TGT - News) & Reliance Steel (NYSE:RS - News). TGT's PowerRating (for Traders) is 7, and RS's PowerRating (for Traders) is 7.
Bearish
5+ Consecutive Up Days: These are stocks that have closed up for five or more consecutive days and are trading below their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading below their 200-day moving average that close up for five or more days have shown negative returns, on average, 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (NYSE:KMP - News). KMP's PowerRating (for Traders) is 3.
5+ Consecutive Higher Highs: These are stocks that have made a higher high for five or more consecutive days and are trading below their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading below their 200-day moving average that make higher highs for five or more days have shown negative returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Stillwater Mining (NYSE:SWC - News). SWC's PowerRating (for Traders) is 2.
Stocks Up 10% or More: These are stocks that have gained 10% or more over the past five days and are trading below their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading below their 200-day moving average that have gained 10% or more over the past five days have shown negative returns, on average, 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Visteon Corporation (NYSE:VC - News). VC's PowerRating (for Traders) is 3.
Published by TradingMarkets.com

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Hot Stocks to Watch Today

Here are 7 trading ideas for today. These lists come directly from the TradingMarkets Stock Indicators page and are based upon our latest quantitative research.
Bullish
5+ Consecutive Down Days: These are stocks that have closed down for five or more consecutive days and are trading above their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading above their 200-day moving average that close down for five or more days have shown positive returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Sun Healthcare (NasdaqGM:SUNH - News). SUNH's PowerRating (for Traders) is 7.
5+ Consecutive Lower Lows: These are stocks that have made a lower low for five or more consecutive days and are trading above their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading above their 200-day moving average that make lower lows for five or more days have shown positive returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY - News). LLY's PowerRating (for Traders) is 6.
2-Period RSI Below 2: These are stocks that have a 2-period RSI reading below 2 and are trading above their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading above their 200-day moving with a 2-period RSI reading below 2 have shown positive returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Target (NYSE:TGT - News) & Reliance Steel (NYSE:RS - News). TGT's PowerRating (for Traders) is 7, and RS's PowerRating (for Traders) is 7.
Bearish
5+ Consecutive Up Days: These are stocks that have closed up for five or more consecutive days and are trading below their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading below their 200-day moving average that close up for five or more days have shown negative returns, on average, 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (NYSE:KMP - News). KMP's PowerRating (for Traders) is 3.
5+ Consecutive Higher Highs: These are stocks that have made a higher high for five or more consecutive days and are trading below their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading below their 200-day moving average that make higher highs for five or more days have shown negative returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Stillwater Mining (NYSE:SWC - News). SWC's PowerRating (for Traders) is 2.
Stocks Up 10% or More: These are stocks that have gained 10% or more over the past five days and are trading below their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading below their 200-day moving average that have gained 10% or more over the past five days have shown negative returns, on average, 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Visteon Corporation (NYSE:VC - News). VC's PowerRating (for Traders) is 3.
Published by TradingMarkets.com

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Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Fast Money Recap Sept. 25th

The crew at Fast Money discussed how retail stocks may be affected by the whipsaws of trading. Najarian pointed at that while stocks were down early, technology names recovered. According to Macke, investors shot first and didn't bother to ask the questions in the retail sector. Finerman feels something else besides fundamentals were at work with regards to the overall market sell off and the selling seen in retail stocks.Target (TGT), Lowe's (LOW) and Wal-Mart (WMT) traded lower off the poor consumer confidence numbers. Adami thinks Target is worth a trade here.
Christmas Season:Margret Brennan, CNBC's chief correspondent, thinks consumer electronics and retail accessories like handbags and shoes will be strong again this Christmas. She is looking at Wal-Mart and agrees with Adami on Target for a play on strong consumer electronics demand. Macke recommends Coach (COH). Adami suggests Saks (SKS). Najarian continues to favor athletic apparel maker Under Armour (UA)Word on the StreetExisting home sales were reported on Tuesday and hit a five-year low. Finerman has concerns that Lennar (LEN) may have write-downs in the future, and that short-term trade is in order at Centex (CTX). Adami: if KB Home (KBH) trades down to a 52-week low on 10 million shares, buy it for a short-term trade. The strike at General Motors (GM) hit its second day on Tuesday as investors grow nervous of a stalemate. Najarian doesn't want to see the strike go more then five days. Adami's idea for an auto trade look is to look for a pullback in BorgWarner (BWA).Technology SectorApple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG) hit new records as technology stocks continued to shine. Najarian says gadget stocks like Garmin (GRMN) and Research In Motion (RIMM) continue to be strong as well. Chemical and Consumer Sectors:Najarian: Likes Crocs (CROX), Monsanto (MON) and Digital River (DRIV).
Carter Worth: chief market technician at Oppenheimer, joined the crew to discuss his take on technical analysis in the markets. Says there is strength in materials, energy and industrial stocks, but that strength is being offset by weakness in consumer discretionary and financial stocks.BHP Billiton (BHP) vs. Wal-Mart (WMT). BHP is killing WMT in performance. The second chart was Schlumberger (SLB) vs. UBS (UBS) and the third was Arcelor Mittal (MT) vs. Toyota (TM). UBS and MT are the out performers in the above three comparisons and BHP has room to go higher.
Pops & DropsPops -- ValueClick (VCLK) traded up 13% and Focus Media (FMCN) traded up 19%.NAVTEQ (NVT) traded up 11%.Tesoro (TSO) popped 3%. Adami is bearish on the refineries.USEC (USU) popped 6%.Drops -- Vonage (VG) plunged 34%Whirlpool (WHR) fell 5%Freeport McMoRan (FCX) fell 2%Face2FaceIntercontinental Exchange (ICE) has fallen considerably from its high of $174. Is this an opportunity to accumulate a larger position, or is ICE's stock price reflecting slower growth? Finerman responds by noting that the exchanges are in play for M&A and this could draw in more investor interest for names like ICE. Macke was asked his opinion on Chipotle Mexican Grill's (CMG). Macke likes CMG for a trade.
Final Trade Macke favors eBay (EBAY).Finerman prefers Comverse Technology (CVMT).Najarian tells investors to play the online ad space with Digital River (DRIV). Adami likes USEC (USU)

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Tuesday, September 25, 2007

Fast Money Recap Sept. 24th

General Motors (GM): Hit with its first nationwide strike in 37 years, and the crew at Fast Money was focused on what it means to the market. Adami: has been consistently negative on GM and would rather own Ford (F). Macke agrees that GM is a sell, unless they take a huge hit on health care without giving job guarantees.
Online Ad Play: Microsoft (MSFT) made headlines today as rumors floated around Wall Street that the firm is planning on taking a 5% stake in Facebook.com. Kourosh Karimkhany, manager of wired digital at Conde Naste, sees Microsoft's play for Facebook as one for software development.
Macke: time to get long MSFT. Najarian prefers ValueClick (VCLK) and Focus Media (FMCN). Tuesday will be a big day for Microsoft as they will release the hyped up Halo 3 game which is predicted to be the biggest selling game ever. Macke proposes investors play Halo 3 with trades in Gamestop (GME) and Activison (ATVI). He advises getting out of Sony (SNE).Drug Trade: The UBS health care industry conference could help jump start some of the pharmaceutical and biotech stocks this week. Adami suggests Pfizer (PFE).
Najarian: Myraid Genetics (MYGN) and Quest Diagnostics (DGX). Macke: Johnson & Johnson (JNJ).Burning Down the House: The homebuilders sector was annihilated on Monday, as investors fear more bad news is on the way when the government reports existing home sales data Tuesday. Adami advises not to trade this sector unless you have to. Finerman: stay away from WCI Communities (WCI) and Hovnanian (HOV).Chartology: Technical analysis expert Jeff DeGraaf was on the show. DeGraaf likes the technology sector right now and he thinks it will outperform in the coming months. He feels positive about tech because the sector was strong in the summer when it normally tends to trade down. DeGraaf looked at Fedex (FDX) and the chart isn't showing bullish trends. Adami: doesn't like FDX until it trades above $121 and DeGraaf agreed. DeGraaf: loves the pattern in gold and continues to be bullish longer term on the yellow metal. He would look to buy gold on pullbacks.Word on the Street: Target (TGT) lowered same-store sales on Monday. SABMiller reported an 11% jump in beer volumes on Monday. Macke likes Molson Coors (TAP). Najarian likes BHP Billiton (BHP) and copper and gold producer Freeport McMoRan (FCX).Alternative Energy: NRG Energy (NRG) submitted its first application for a new US nuclear reactor in 30 years. Najarian would play this news with (BHP) Billiton and Cameco (CCJ). Finerman: Flowserve (FLS) and Adami likes Fluor Corp (FLR). Macke would just play NRG Energy (NRG). Trina (TSL) traded higher 8% as solar stocks were active with a major solar conference started. Najarian likes TSL.Pops & DropsPops- Crocs (CROX) traded up 9%. Adami thinks a big short was forced to cover on Monday. He would take profits on CROX.NYSE Euronext (NYX) traded up 2% off a JP Morgan upgrade. Finerman continues to be long this stock and she feels it has more room to run higher.Las Vegas Sands (LVS) traded up 7% off a Jeffries upgrade. Macke says time to get out.PrimeWest Energy Trust (PWI) exploded 32% on news that Abu Dhabi National Energy Co. bought them out. Finerman hopes we keep seeing deals like this.EMC Corporation (EMC) traded up 8% after Citigroup and Bear Stearns upgraded the name. Adami still likes it.Drops- AMR Corp (AMR) fell 14% after revenue forecasts missed Wall Street expectations. This drop took down all the airline companies for the day.Harman (HAR) dropped 6% after the company said profits would miss Wall Street expectations. Finerman wouldn't touch it.Adtran (ADTN) plunged 14% after the telecom company warned on 3rd quarter earnings and revenue. Macke suggests avoiding these guys on the telecom side.Final Trade:Finerman: likes NYMEX (NMX)Najarian: ValueClick (VCLK).Adami: Pfizer (PFE) for its cheap valuation.
Macke: Short Dow30 ProShares (DOG).

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