Tuesday, October 23, 2007

Oil Services Bounce Back

Investors returned to oilfield service stocks even as crude prices retreated Tuesday, enticed by hearty earnings, Wall Street optimism and a big payout from Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc.
The Philadelphia Oil Service Sector index rose 0.85 percent to 287.41, but is still off more than 9 percent from a record high last week.
Light, sweet crude for December delivery fell 34 cents to $85.68 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. November crude, which expired Monday, had risen as high as $90.07 last week.
In a flurry of notes, analysts called the sell-off of a number of key companies overblown.
Shares of Schlumberger Ltd., for example, tumbled more than 14 percent in just two trading days after it reported strong third-quarter earnings growth but warned of pricing and margin weakness in North America. Jefferies analyst Stephen Gengaro said the drop "appears to be an overreaction.
"We continue to believe that Schlumberger is extremely well positioned to post solid earnings growth over the next several years, fueled by key international markets and an excellent mix of high-end products and services," he said in a research note. Gengaro rates the stock "Buy" with a $110 price target.
Schlumberger shares rose $3.51, or 3.7 percent, to $98.85.
Shares of its biggest competitor, Halliburton Co., rose 75 cents, or 2 percent, to $40.08.
On Monday, Halliburton's chief executive said the Houston company expected to continue growing in the Eastern Hemisphere and Latin America. The company reported a 19 percent rise in third-quarter income Sunday.
"Halliburton has put up another solid quarter, rivaling Schlumberger in the quality of its earnings growth, yet the stock still gets little credit for this consistent strong performance," said Friedman, Billings, Ramsey analyst Robert MacKenzie, who rates the stock "Outperform."
"As concerns over North American activity dissipate and international growth progresses, we see this gap narrowing," MacKenzie said.
Diamond Offshore was among the sector's biggest gainers. It rewarded shareholders Monday afternoon with a special dividend of $1.25 per share, plus its regular quarterly dividend of 12.5 cents per share. Analysts welcomed the move.
"This should in our view drive a fundamental revaluation of the shares," Morgan Stanley analyst Ole Slorer said. He boosted his rating on the stock to "Overweight" from "Underweight" and hiked his price target to $145 from $119.
Diamond Offshore shares jumped $7.27, or 6.6 percent, to $117.52.
Other oil service shares also rose. Weatherford International, which reported a 25 percent jump in third-quarter profit, rose $2.27, or 3.7 percent, to $62.67. Shares of National Oilwell Varco Inc., scheduled to report results Wednesday, rose $3.23, or 4.7 percent, to $72.76.
Published by Adam Schreck, AP Business Writer

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Stocks to Watch Tuesday

Here are 7 trading ideas for today. This list comes directly from the TradingMarkets Stock Indicators page and is based upon our latest quantitative research.
Bullish
5+ Consecutive Down Days: These are stocks that have closed down for five or more consecutive days and are trading above their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading above their 200-day moving average that close down for five or more days have shown positive returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Celgene (NasdaqGS:CELG - News). CELG's PowerRating (for Traders) is 7.
5+ Consecutive Lower Lows: These are stocks that have made a lower low for five or more consecutive days and are trading above their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading above their 200-day moving average that make lower lows for five or more days have shown positive returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE:ANF - News). ANF's PowerRating (for Traders) is 6.
2-Period RSI Below 2: These are stocks that have a 2-period RSI reading below 2 and are trading above their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading above their 200-day moving with a 2-period RSI reading below 2 have shown positive returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Everest Re Group (NYSE:RE - News) & Mastercard (NYSE:MA - News). RE's PowerRating (for Traders) is 7, and MA's PowerRating (for Traders) is 8.
Stocks Down 10% or More: These are stocks that have lost 10% or more over the past five days and are trading above their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading above their 200-day moving average that have lost 10% or more over the past five days have shown positive returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Jinpan International (NYSE:JST - News) & Schlumberger (NYSE:SLB - News). JST's PowerRating (for Traders) is 8, and SLB's PowerRating (for Traders) is 7.
Bearish
2-Period RSI Above 98: These are stocks that have a 2-day RSI reading above 98 and are trading below their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading below their 200-day moving average with a 2-period RSI reading above 98 have shown negative returns, on average, 1-day and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Steve Madden (NasdaqGS:SHOO - News). SHOO's PowerRating (for Traders) is 1.
Published By TradingMarkets.com

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Friday, September 21, 2007

Fast Money Recap Sept. 20th

Najarian: the weak dollar is bullish for technology stocks, which will benefit off of global growth. Finerman: buying S&P 500 and Russell put options to hedge her portfolio.Oil was above $83 again for the fourth record close in a row. Finerman suggests buying ConocoPhillips (COP). Najarian says to buy oil service stocks like Baker-Hughes (BHI), Halliburton (HAL) and Schlumberger (SLB).Word on the StreetGoldman Sachs (GS): Record numbers on Thursday. Najirian would sell on the news.FedEx (FDX): reported a 4% rise in profits, but cut forecasts. Macke thinks FedEx's problems are company-specific. He also reminded investors to never own a stock where the CEO blames the economy on a bad quarter, which FedEx did. Adami said Fed Ex isn't at the level he would buy, but it's getting close.Oracle (ORCL): traded up after hours on strong earnings and revenue. Macke thinks Oracle is a very good company hitting on all cylinders. Adami and Najarian like the acquisitions that Oracle has made recently.Cree (CREE) and Brightpoint (CELL): Najarian saw huge monster volume on the CREE September $35 calls and the CELL April $20 calls.Nike (NKE): reported bullish earnings and revenues after the close on Thursday. Finerman thinks the news gives a buy signal for Brown Shoe (BWS), which sells a lot of Nike shoes. Macke disagreed. Najirian says to watch Under Armor (UA), because if they are doing well than Nike will do well.PC Growth: Morgan Stanley raised PC growth forecasts by 4%. This adds momentum for technology stocks and will be bullish for Dell (DELL), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), Apple (AAPL), Intel (IMTC), and AMD (AMD).Stem Cell: Najarian says the pure play in the stem cell space is Geron (GERN). For other big caps look at Celgene (CELG), Amgen (AMGN) and AstraZeneca (AZN).Dubai announced on Thursday a 20% stake in both the NASDAQ and London Stock Exchange. Higher oil prices have left the Gulf state flush with cash. Macke says look at Tiffany's (TIF) and Saks (SKS) and get ahead of the possibility of Dubai taking a stake in these firms. Adami says buy Fluor (FLR) and McDermott (MDR). Finerman would play the exchange names like NASDAQ (NDAQ), NYMEX (NMX), and NYSE (NYX).POPS & DROPSPOPS: Athenahealth (ATHN), Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR), Carnival Cruise (CCL), Motorola (MOT).Drops: CKE Restaurants (CKR), Pier One Imports (PIR), Lowe's (LOW), Infosys (INFY), Pacific Ethanol (PEIX).Face2FaceFirst writer said, "Lee Raymond, the former CEO of Exxon Mobil (XOM) has said that the price of oil shouldn't be $80 per barrel. If so, perhaps there is no "real" inflation at all. Finerman disagrees with the idea that speculators can control prices in the longer term.Another writer asked why EMC Corp (EMC) hasn't broken out of its current trading range, while VMware (VMW). Adami recalls that traders sold EMC to buy VMW, but those traders will be coming back to EMC. He expects EMC to go over $20.Final TradeMacke: Added to his position in Activision (ATVI).Adami: says buy Oracle (ORCL) as long as it stays above $20.50.Finerman: going long on BEA Systems (BEAS).Najarian: buy Sohu.com (SOHU)

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