Friday, November 30, 2007

Stocks to Watch Friday

Here are 7 trading ideas for today. This list comes directly from the TradingMarkets Stock Indicators page and is based upon our latest quantitative research.BullishLaps Down 5% or More: These are stocks that lap down by 5% or more and are trading above their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading above their 200-day moving average that lap down by more than 5% have shown positive returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Overstock.com (NasdaqGM:OSTK - News). OSTK's PowerRating (for Traders) is 6. Stocks Down 10% or More: These are stocks that have lost 10% or more over the past five days and are trading above their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading above their 200-day moving average that have lost 10% or more over the past five days have shown positive returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
China Finance Online (NasdaqGM:JRJC - News). JRJC's PowerRating (for Traders) is 6.BearishLaps Up 5% or More: These are stocks that lap up by 5% or more and are trading below their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading below their 200-day moving average that lap up by more than 5% have shown negative returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.E*Trade Financial (NasdaqGS:ETFC - News). ETFC's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4.5+ Consecutive Up Days: These are stocks that have closed up for five or more consecutive days and are trading below their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading below their 200-day moving average that close up for five or more days have shown negative returns, on average, 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.Children's Place (NasdaqGS:PLCE - News) & Interoil Corporation (NYSE:IOC - News). PLCE's PowerRating (for Traders) is 3, and IOC's PowerRating (for Traders) is 3.5+ Consecutive Higher Highs: These are stocks that have made a higher high for five or more consecutive days and are trading below their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading below their 200-day moving average that make higher highs for five or more days have shown negative returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.Boeing (NYSE:BA - News). BA's PowerRating (for Traders) is 3.Stocks Up 10% or More: These are stocks that have gained 10% or more over the past five days and are trading below their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading below their 200-day moving average that have gained 10% or more over the past five days have shown negative returns, on average, 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Daktronics (NasdaqGS:DAKT - News). DAKT's PowerRating (for Traders) is 2.
Published By TradingMarkets.com

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Thursday, November 15, 2007

CNBC's Fast Money Recap Nov. 14th

The Dow finished down 83 points and the Nasdaq closed down 29 points. Macke explained to investors that the morning selling of the four horseman like Google (GOOG), Research In Motion (RIMM) and Apple (AAPL) lead the market down.
Delta Air Lines (DAL) denies reports of merger talks with United Airlines (UAUA). Adami thinks that any rally in the airline stocks should be sold. Najarian says if a merger was going to happen thinks the play would be Northwest Airlines (NWA). Airbus SAS and Boeing (BA) released a report that said this year will mark the peak in orders for airplanes. Finerman disagreed with the report and her advice to investors is to buy Kaiser Aluminum (KALU). Adami likes Honeywell (HON) for an aerospace play.
The New York Times published an article about Luluemon athletica (LULU) saying the clothing made of seaweed doesn't have any seaweed in it.
A $5 billion bond fund run by General Electric (GE) is offering investors a redemption of 96 cents on the dollar.
Asset Managers: Adami's personal favorite asset manager is Affiliated Manager's Group (AMG). He picks AMG for a baby boomer play and because it is insulated from subprime. Finerman agrees on AMG and she also likes Ameriprise Financial (AMP) and Charles Schwab (SCHW). Najarian suggests purchasing the recently punished names like PMI Group (PMI), Ambac (ABK) and MBIA (MBI).
Starbucks (SBUX) is set to report earnings on Thursday after the close. Macke says Starbucks has slowing growth and difficult comps, so the way to play this is to buy McDonald's (MCD). He mentioned that McDonald's competing directly against Starbucks in the coffee market.
Word on the Street
Crude oil closes up 3.4% to $94.30. Adami still thinks oil goes lower and he was disappointed that Tesoro (TSO) didn't trade higher with oil.
Network Appliance (NTAP) tops second-quarter profits and guides third-quarter above Wall Street estimates.
Najarian noted unusual options activity inSavient Pharmaceuticals (SVNT).
Pops & Drops
Pops - E*TRADE (ETFC) traded up 11% after CEO Mitch Caplan told CNBC that the online brokerage firm isn't going bankrupt.
iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (FXI) traded up 2% following the Asian market rally.
Ventana Medical (VMSI) traded up 6%
MetroPCS (PCS) traded up 10%
Gilead (GILD) trades up 2% after Stifel Nicholas raised their price target to $52
Drops - Wendy's (WEN) fell 3%
United Rentals (URI) plunged 30%
Blockbuster (BBI) fell 6%.
Time Warner (TWX) fell 4% after a large block trade crossed the tape.
Disney (DIS) fell 4%
Final Trade
Macke suggests getting long the Dow30 Short Proshares (DOG) for a trade.
Adami and Najarian like EMC (EMC) off of Network Appliance's (NTAP) earnings.
Finerman likes American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) kon valuation.

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Wednesday, November 14, 2007

Stock Options to Watch Wednesday

Here are 7 options to watch for today.
Most Under-Priced Calls: These are the most under priced calls of all stocks in our database. This stock comes from today's list and is among the most under-priced individual calls.
Morgan Stanley Jan 65 Calls (NYSE:MS - News). MS's PowerRating (for Traders) is 3.
Most Under-Priced Puts: These are the most under priced puts of all stocks in our database. This stock comes from today's list and is among the most under-priced individual puts.
Wal-Mart Stores Dec 45 Puts (NYSE:WMT - News). WMT's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4.
Most Overpriced Calls: These are the most overpriced calls of all stocks in our database. This stock comes from today's list and is among the most overpriced individual calls.
E*TRADE Financial Jan 5 Calls (NYSE:ETFC - News). ETFC's PowerRating (for Traders) is 6.
Most Overpriced Puts: These are the most overpriced puts of all stocks in our database. This stock comes from today's list and is among the most overpriced individual puts.
Goldman Sachs Dec 185 Puts (NYSE:GS - News). GS's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4.
Stocks with Abnormal Call Volume: These are stocks which showed unusual call option volume not easily explained by arbitrage operations. The appearance of a stock on the Call Volume Alerts list suggests a possible takeover, extraordinarily good earnings report, or other news which may favorably affect the stock.
Nabors Industries (NYSE:NBR - News). NBR's PowerRating (for Traders) is 5.
Stocks with Abnormal Put Volume: These are stocks which showed unusual put option volume not easily explained by arbitrage operations. The appearance of a stock on the Put Volume Alerts list suggests an extraordinarily negative earnings report, or other news which may negatively affect the stock.
Nexen (NYSE:NXY - News). NXY's PowerRating (for Traders) is 6.
Abnormal Put/Call $ Volume: These stocks have the highest dollar put volume in relation to their call volume. These high ratios are indicative of extreme bearish sentiment in the underlying stock.
Countrywide Financial (NYSE:CFC - News). CFC's PowerRating (for Traders) is 5.
Published By TradingMarkets.com

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Hot Stock Options to Watch Today

Here are 7 options to watch for today.
Most Under-Priced Calls: These are the most under priced calls of all stocks in our database. This stock comes from today's list and is among the most under-priced individual calls.
Morgan Stanley Jan 65 Calls (NYSE:MS - News). MS's PowerRating (for Traders) is 3.
Most Under-Priced Puts: These are the most under priced puts of all stocks in our database. This stock comes from today's list and is among the most under-priced individual puts.
Wal-Mart Stores Dec 45 Puts (NYSE:WMT - News). WMT's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4.
Most Overpriced Calls: These are the most overpriced calls of all stocks in our database. This stock comes from today's list and is among the most overpriced individual calls.
E*TRADE Financial Jan 5 Calls (NYSE:ETFC - News). ETFC's PowerRating (for Traders) is 6.
Most Overpriced Puts: These are the most overpriced puts of all stocks in our database. This stock comes from today's list and is among the most overpriced individual puts.
Goldman Sachs Dec 185 Puts (NYSE:GS - News). GS's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4.
Stocks with Abnormal Call Volume: These are stocks which showed unusual call option volume not easily explained by arbitrage operations. The appearance of a stock on the Call Volume Alerts list suggests a possible takeover, extraordinarily good earnings report, or other news which may favorably affect the stock.
Nabors Industries (NYSE:NBR - News). NBR's PowerRating (for Traders) is 5.
Stocks with Abnormal Put Volume: These are stocks which showed unusual put option volume not easily explained by arbitrage operations. The appearance of a stock on the Put Volume Alerts list suggests an extraordinarily negative earnings report, or other news which may negatively affect the stock.
Nexen (NYSE:NXY - News). NXY's PowerRating (for Traders) is 6.
Abnormal Put/Call $ Volume: These stocks have the highest dollar put volume in relation to their call volume. These high ratios are indicative of extreme bearish sentiment in the underlying stock.
Countrywide Financial (NYSE:CFC - News). CFC's PowerRating (for Traders) is 5.
Published by TradingMarkets.com

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Tuesday, November 13, 2007

CNBC's Fast Money Recap Nov. 12th

Dennis Gartman, author of The Gartman Letter, joined the show to discuss his take on the dollar, which he predicted last Friday was due for a bounce. The dollar had its biggest one day reversal in a year on Monday. He also noted that in the last 4 days the U.S. dollar had the biggest rally versus the Canadian dollar that he has seen in his life. He also wouldn't be surprised to see gold fall another $40. Also, Gartman is looking for oil to fall $10-$15 before Thanksgiving.
Merrill Lynch economist David Rosenberg said on Monday that the last time he's seen a drop in consumer confidence to this degree during the Holiday season; the economy was in a recession. Macke thinks the Tuesday earnings reports from Home Depot (HD) and Wal-Mart (WMT) will be horrific. The only retailer he expects a good earnings report from is Kohl's (KSS) and his wild card is Macy's (M). He would get long Costco (COST) and Target (TGT). Adami thinks a trade is setting up for Coldwater Creek (CWTR), which he mentions has a very high short interest.
E*Trade (ETFC) lost 60% of its value Monday on concerns over the companies loan portfolio. Finerman thinks the most clear trade is to be long TD Ameritrade Holding (AMTD). Finerman sees opportunity for TD Ameritrade to steal E*Trade clients with all the problems they're having. She also likes Charles Schwab (SCHW).
IBM (IBM) bought Cognos (COGN) for $5 billion and Fortune Brands (FO) sold its wine business to Constellation Brands (STZ) for $885 million. Adami declares United States Steel (X) will be the next company to be taken over.
Word on the Street
Technology stocks continued to slide Monday with leaders like Google (GOOG) dropping 5%, Apple (AAPL) dropping 7% and Research In Motion (RIMM) dropping 9%. Adami likes Hewlett Packard (HPQ) ahead of next Monday's earnings report.
Rio Tinto (RTP) hits a record high after BHP Billiton (BHP) laid out the details for its $140 billion all-share offer.
Adami says the big pharmaceutical story is not fiction and Merck (MRK) is for real. He also loves defense play Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). Macke agrees with Adami and that right now is a good time to be long Merck, Procter & Gamble (PG), Pfizer (PFE) and Church & Dwight (CHD) for a defensive portfolio. Najarian wants to keep an eye on Eli Lilly (LLY).
Pops & Drops
Pops - Cisco Systems (CSCO) traded up 2% on Monday as the market declined.
Mattel (MAT) traded up 4% off a JPMorgan upgrade.
Starwood (HOT) traded up 2%
Washington Mutual (WM) traded up 1% as the financial stocks mounted a rally on Monday.
American Airlines (AMR), US Airways (LCC) and Delta (DAL) all traded up more than 5% as oil prices declined.
Starbucks (SBUX) traded up 3%.
Drops - Freeport McMoRan (FCX) fell 10% as commodity stocks were hit off the dollar rally.
Tyson Foods (TSN) fell 3% after cutting its 2008 forecast.
Sotheby's (BID) fell 2%.
Mosaic (MOS) fell 14% off the dollar rally.
Final Trade
Macke likes defensive play Procter & Gamble (PG).
Adami recommends Cisco Systems (CSCO).
Finerman and Najarian both picked TD Ameritrade Holding (AMTD).

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Monday, November 12, 2007

CNBC's Fast Money Recap Nov. 9th

On Friday the stock market continued to fall with the Dow plunging 223 points and the Nasdaq falling 68 points. The show guided investors through the difficulties of profiting in a down market. Najarian suggests Cisco Systems (CSCO) as a buying opportunity here. He also likes Apple (AAPL) which he mentioned is now selling the iPhone in Germany and soon China. Adami likes EMC (EMC) calling it a real story. Seymour recommends Microsoft (MSFT) and Finerman agreed. Finerman also thinks Altria (MO) is smoking and Adami recommends Unilever (UL). Najarian thinks international and weak dollar plays like McDonald's (MCD) and Coke (KO) will continue to work.Bank stocks like Wachovia (WB), JPMorgan (JPM), and Bank of America (BAC) finished up on Friday. Najarian was with Citigroup (C). He mentioned that the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) saw 2-to-1 call options buying on Friday.
Word on the Street Merck (MRK) announces plans to pay $4.85 billion to settle most of the remaining Vioxx lawsuits. Adami recommends buying GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) here.E*Trade (ETFC) fell 13% after hours.
Retailers Wal-Mart (WMT) and Macy's (M) are set to report earrings next week. One interesting name to look at is low cost retailer TJ Maxx (TJX) which could be benefiting from consumers looking to save money. Finerman is sticking with Wal-Mart for a long term investment. Macke advises buying The Gap (GPS) and GameStop (GME).
Steel Trade Bearish news from both the housing and auto sectors has helped push U.S. Steel (X) down 7% this week. Seymour mentioned that possible suitors include POSCO (PKX) and some Russian steel makers. Seymour would watch is Mechel (MTL) as well.
Pops & Drops Pops- Monsanto (MON) traded up 3.5% after the company said it will double profits to the tune of $8 billion over the next five years.Allstate (ALL) traded up 4% after Citigroup upgraded the stock.Drops- Clearwire (CLWR) plunged 38% after Sprint Nextel (S) canceled a deal.Washington Mutual (WM) fell 11% off a investigation started by New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo into the bank's dealings with mortgage appraisers.Fannie Mae (FNM) fell 6% after reporting a loss for the third-quarter.Whirlpool (WHR) fell 4% off a negative Barron's article.NASDAQ (NDAQ) dropped 10% after private equity firm Hellman & Friedman sold 23 million shares.
MisfiresOn October 25th Adami was a buyer of Sotheby's (BID) and since his call the stock fell 8%.October 2nd Finerman recommended buying Kohl's (KSS) and since her call, the stock has been crushed falling 20%. Najarian advocated buying Cisco Systems (CSCO) ahead of the earnings report and was dead wrong and Cisco fell 10% since his call on Tuesday.
Quicker Than the TickerOn October 15th Najarian said buy SunPower (SPWR) and Suntech (STP). He nailed the call and the stocks screamed up by as much as 50%.November 2nd Seymour picked Russian cellphone providers VimpleCom (VIP) and Mobile Telesystems (MBT). Seymour was right and both stocks climbed 6% in 5 days.October 15th Finerman recommended Flowserve (FLS). She was deadly accurate and the stock climbed 20% since her call.October 25th Adami suggested shorting Exxon Mobil (XOM) ahead of earnings. Adami was correct and XOM fell 4% after missing earnings.
Final Trade (Green)Adami favors BorgWarner (BWA) for a play on fuel efficiency and emissions control.Najarian feels positive about Energy Conversion Devices (ENR).Seymour recommends Powershares Water Resources ETF (PHO).Finerman likes Kaiser Aluminum (KALU).

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Thursday, October 18, 2007

Stocks Flat After Bank of America (BAC) Earnings

Wall Street pared its losses to trade flat Thursday, but remained uneasy as disappointing results from Bank of America Corp. provided further evidence that the credit crisis is hurting the economy.
The Dow Jones industrial average, down as much as 60 points earlier in the session, rebounded in afternoon trading to nearly positive territory as bargain hunters entered the market, betting Thursday's dismal data could convince the Federal Reserve to lower rates again.
Still, investors remained spooked after BofA -- considered a bellwether for the banking industry because it has branches across the country -- said "significant dislocations" in the capital markets sent third-quarter profits down 32 percent. Citigroup Inc. and Washington Mutual Inc. reported similar results in recent days.
Banks and brokerages have been hurt during the third quarter in the fallout from the subprime mortgage crisis. As people with weak credit defaulted on loans at an alarming rate, it triggered a global aversion for risk that led the credit markets to freeze up.
Treasurys rallied and the dollar fell to a new low against the euro after the Labor Department said the number of newly laid off workers filing claims for unemployment benefits shot up last week by the largest amount since February. The report was far worse than economists expected, and signaled that the labor market could be starting to weaken from a downturn in housing and the global credit turmoil.
Source: Joe Bel Bruno, AP Business Writer

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