Monday, October 29, 2007

CNBC's Fast Money Recap Oct. 26th

Merrill Lynch (MER)- There was speculation on Wall Street that Stan O'Neal will be removed as CEO and Chairman of the Board over the weekend. CNBC's Charlie Gasparino joined the show to discuss O'Neal leaving. Gasparino says rumors are out that Larry Fink the CEO of BlackRock could be named the new Chairman and the CEO position might be split between Greg Flemming and Bob McCann. Najarian said he still would be a buyer of Merrill and that if O'Neal doesn't go, he expects the stock to go down to $55. However, Macke advocates shorting Merrill when O'Neal leaves.
BEA Systems (BEAS)- Carl Icahn has sent a letter to the board of BEA saying its time to come to the negotiating table with Oracle (ORCL). Rumors are that BEA wants $21 share and Oracle offered $17. The offer is set to expire on Sunday.
Microsoft (MSFT) traded up 15% after profits and revenues handily beat Wall Street estimates. Macke remarks that the earnings were great especially from Microsoft and the shorts are getting crushed. Finerman feels the market is very confusing with tech performing well, but many financial stocks doing poorly. Adami prefers Intel (INTC) here and noted that the Citigroup analyst put a $33 price target on the name. Najarian favors Apple (APPL)
Rate Cut- The crew then discussed how next week the Federal Reserve will meet to decide on interest rates and the jobs report will be released. Najarian thinks that the Fed is going to cut rates and that's why the financials flew Friday. He advocates staying with the good sectors like technology and asset mangers and avoid the rest. Macke and Finerman agree that the jobs number will be the best indicator for the economy.
Crude oil hit another record Friday trading above $92. Adami points out how Exxon (XOM) isn't rallying into record oil prices and suggests the company might miss earnings. XOM has a rich valuation and the price action signals that it may move lower. Adami admits that Exxon scares him in front of earnings. He thinks if Exxon reports bad results, it could take the Dow lower. Finerman mentioned that Kirk Kerkorian's Tracinda is looking to buy 16% of Tesoro (TSO).
Procter & Gamble (PG) is also set to report earnings on Tuesday. Procter is one of Macke's favorite trades in front of earnings. Finerman likes Procter as well and Kraft (KFT) which reports earnings on Wednesday. Manitowoc (MTW) is also set to report on Wednesday, which Najarian is partial to.
Quicker than the Ticker- On October 23rd Najarian said buy Vmware (VMW). He nailed the call and the stock has risen 10%. On September 27th Macke recommending buying Yahoo (YHOO). Macke was right and the stock appreciated 20% since his call. On September 20th Adami said buy Microsoft (MSFT). Adami was on the money and Microsoft killed Wall Street's estimates and traded up 11%.
Fast Fire- On October 5th Macke recommending buying Coach (COH). Macke was way off and Coach fell 21% since his call. On October 15th Najarian favored Broadcom (BRCM). He dropped the ball on BRCM and the stock fell 16% after disappointing earnings. On September 12th Adami said he loved Zimmer Holdings (ZMH). Since his call the stock has dropped 15%. On October 1st Finerman advised investors to buy put options on Garmin (GRMN). The stock has risen 9% since her call and she is now admitting defeat and moving on.
Pops & Drops
Pops - Merck (MRK) traded up 8%.
Goldman Sachs (GS) traded up 8%.
DeVry (DV) exploded up 47%.
Deckers Outdoor (DECK) traded up 34% on strong profits.
Baidu.com (BIDU) traded up 12% after profits more than doubled.
Black and Decker (BDK) popped 18% on strong international sales numbers.
Monster Worldwide (MNST) traded up 12% on strong profits.
Drops - Schering Plough (SGP) fell 7% after missing Wall Street estimates.
WellCare Health Plans (WCG) plunged 73% after the FBI raided their offices.
Final Trade
Macke favors Intel (INTC).
Adami recommends Dell (DELL).
Finerman says short the United States Oil Fund (USO).
Najarian grabs a buy ticket for Baker Hughes (BHI).

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Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Fast Money Recap Sept. 25th

The crew at Fast Money discussed how retail stocks may be affected by the whipsaws of trading. Najarian pointed at that while stocks were down early, technology names recovered. According to Macke, investors shot first and didn't bother to ask the questions in the retail sector. Finerman feels something else besides fundamentals were at work with regards to the overall market sell off and the selling seen in retail stocks.Target (TGT), Lowe's (LOW) and Wal-Mart (WMT) traded lower off the poor consumer confidence numbers. Adami thinks Target is worth a trade here.
Christmas Season:Margret Brennan, CNBC's chief correspondent, thinks consumer electronics and retail accessories like handbags and shoes will be strong again this Christmas. She is looking at Wal-Mart and agrees with Adami on Target for a play on strong consumer electronics demand. Macke recommends Coach (COH). Adami suggests Saks (SKS). Najarian continues to favor athletic apparel maker Under Armour (UA)Word on the StreetExisting home sales were reported on Tuesday and hit a five-year low. Finerman has concerns that Lennar (LEN) may have write-downs in the future, and that short-term trade is in order at Centex (CTX). Adami: if KB Home (KBH) trades down to a 52-week low on 10 million shares, buy it for a short-term trade. The strike at General Motors (GM) hit its second day on Tuesday as investors grow nervous of a stalemate. Najarian doesn't want to see the strike go more then five days. Adami's idea for an auto trade look is to look for a pullback in BorgWarner (BWA).Technology SectorApple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG) hit new records as technology stocks continued to shine. Najarian says gadget stocks like Garmin (GRMN) and Research In Motion (RIMM) continue to be strong as well. Chemical and Consumer Sectors:Najarian: Likes Crocs (CROX), Monsanto (MON) and Digital River (DRIV).
Carter Worth: chief market technician at Oppenheimer, joined the crew to discuss his take on technical analysis in the markets. Says there is strength in materials, energy and industrial stocks, but that strength is being offset by weakness in consumer discretionary and financial stocks.BHP Billiton (BHP) vs. Wal-Mart (WMT). BHP is killing WMT in performance. The second chart was Schlumberger (SLB) vs. UBS (UBS) and the third was Arcelor Mittal (MT) vs. Toyota (TM). UBS and MT are the out performers in the above three comparisons and BHP has room to go higher.
Pops & DropsPops -- ValueClick (VCLK) traded up 13% and Focus Media (FMCN) traded up 19%.NAVTEQ (NVT) traded up 11%.Tesoro (TSO) popped 3%. Adami is bearish on the refineries.USEC (USU) popped 6%.Drops -- Vonage (VG) plunged 34%Whirlpool (WHR) fell 5%Freeport McMoRan (FCX) fell 2%Face2FaceIntercontinental Exchange (ICE) has fallen considerably from its high of $174. Is this an opportunity to accumulate a larger position, or is ICE's stock price reflecting slower growth? Finerman responds by noting that the exchanges are in play for M&A and this could draw in more investor interest for names like ICE. Macke was asked his opinion on Chipotle Mexican Grill's (CMG). Macke likes CMG for a trade.
Final Trade Macke favors eBay (EBAY).Finerman prefers Comverse Technology (CVMT).Najarian tells investors to play the online ad space with Digital River (DRIV). Adami likes USEC (USU)

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